Fall is sort of right here, and with it, the silliest season of all of them. No, the Macalope isn’t speaking concerning the ongoing reign of terror of pumpkin spice-flavored… nicely, every thing. He’s speaking concerning the infinite hypothesis, handwringing, and violent disagreement spilling onto the streets concerning the relative success of the present 12 months’s iPhone fashions.
Let’s do it once more! Ming-Chi Kuo kicks off this 12 months’s festivities:
The primary weekend pre-order demand for the iPhone 17 collection is stronger than final 12 months’s iPhone 16.
An informal observer who has not attended this specific circus earlier than may assume that’s nice information for Apple, however let’s bear in mind a couple of issues right here. First, these are simply Kuo’s estimates. Kuo’s estimates are definitely price greater than these of others, however anticipate a couple of analyst to bust by means of the door in every week, out of breath and claiming that iPhone gross sales are flat or down or by some means diagonal from the place they have been final 12 months.
Even Kuo has unhealthy information for Apple, of which there should all the time be some, suggesting that the iPhone Air continues to be available for order, that means it’s a complete loser that everybody hates, and Apple has tousled large time by attempting to make a thinner cellphone. To be clear, Kuo’s not saying that, however somebody certainly will. Simply give them 5 minutes.

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Look, this isn’t the sexy one’s first rodeo, and even his second or third. It’s been quite a lot of rodeos and quite a lot of clowns. Additionally, a good quantity of bull. Having seen all these rodeos, the Macalope is aware of there’s one other means that prime preliminary gross sales will finally turn out to be “unhealthy information” for Apple. And that’s when, in a couple of months, the corporate inevitably cuts again manufacturing and also you’ll see headlines of MASSIVE IPHONE PRODUCTION CUTS! None of this needs to be stunning as a result of iPhone manufacturing is highest for launch, and Apple doesn’t have to maintain making a bazillion telephones for the remainder of the 12 months, however by some means yearly the identical folks act like it’s. Pundits will gasp and level their fingers on the manufacturing cuts, the hugest ever, and suggest they clearly point out what losers these new telephones are.
The Macalope isn’t arguing that the iPhone 17 lineup is the final word bee’s knees, the utmost cat’s pajamas, the top of the manticore’s silky underthings–whoops that was presupposed to solely be between the Macalope and the manticore. (As a result of that was the solely factor between the Macalope and the manticore, if you recognize what he’s saying.)
They’re high-quality smartphones. However smartphones throughout the board have largely reached a state of regular, steady however modest enchancment. The iPhone 17 Air is the one system that frivolously bumps the cart a bit, and if Kuo’s evaluation is appropriate, it could be that bumping the cart isn’t what clients need.
If the rumors are appropriate, the cart journey will get a bit of bumpier subsequent 12 months when Apple presumably takes an iPhone Air and bends it in half like a road magician to launch a foldable, which can value, let’s face it, form of lots.
Ugh, sure, high-quality, it’s an apple cart. The Macalope was attempting to keep away from the pun, however you stored taking a look at him with these Milhouse eyebrows.
Truthfully, you’re exhausting generally.
The Macalope supposes then that this foolish season is a bit just like the calm earlier than the storm. Hypothesis concerning the efficiency of the iPhone 17 Air will pale compared to what occurs when Apple ships a foldable and in addition rejiggers its schedule, shifting the lower-end telephones to spring, as it’s anticipated to do.
Appears just like the Macalope picked the improper decade to stop wading into the ocean and disappearing without end.